Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Question 1

What is the current probability for "What will Starbucks Corporation say during their next earnings call?"?

Accepted Answer

This prediction market is currently priced at 10¢ (10% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on September 30, 2026. 155 days remaining.

Question 2

What is the implied yield on "What will Starbucks Corporation say during their next earnings call?"?

Accepted Answer

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2114.3% and 26.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Question 3

Where can I trade "What will Starbucks Corporation say during their next earnings call?"?

Accepted Answer

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	2114.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	26.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2114%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	9	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1349%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	2.84	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.4/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	5.9%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

What will Starbucks Corporation say during their next earnings call?

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions