When will Cluely officially announce an IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that When will Cluely officially announce an IPO?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing December 1, 2026. This market is extremely illiquid with only $8 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This market is extremely illiquid with only $8 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable. The 3039% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the extremely low probability priced in, but with such minimal liquidity and a 19 Cliff Risk Index, any trade could dramatically move the price. Given Cluely's apparent early-stage status and the 228-day timeframe, the 5% probability seems reasonable, though traders should be cautious about the wide 5¢ spread and lack of recent activity.
Resolution rules
If Cluely confirms an IPO before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPOCLUELY-26DEC01 yes 100