When will Cluely officially announce an IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that When will Cluely officially announce an IPO?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing July 1, 2026. This market is extremely illiquid with only $40 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 9224% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable.
Analysis
This market is extremely illiquid with only $40 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 9224% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 5¢ price reflects deep skepticism about a Cluely IPO within 75 days, though the wide 5¢ spread and minimal trading activity suggest this could be mispriced if any material news emerges. The high cliff risk index of 19 indicates significant binary event risk, making this a speculative position suitable only for traders comfortable with illiquid, low-probability bets.
Resolution rules
If Cluely confirms an IPO before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPOCLUELY-26JUL01 yes 100