What is the current probability for "When will Cluely officially announce an IPO?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 3¢ (3% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 1, 2027. 344 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "When will Cluely officially announce an IPO?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 3428.1% and 3.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "When will Cluely officially announce an IPO?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

When will Cluely officially announce an IPO?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that When will Cluely officially announce an IPO?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Kalshi, closing April 1, 2027. This is an extremely illiquid micro-cap market with just $26 in 24-hour volume and $335 open interest, making the 3¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.

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3¢

Bid/Ask 3/6¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $156.36·OI $335·Closes Apr 1, 2027·344d remaining

KXIPOCLUELY-27APR01

Analysis

4d ago

This is an extremely illiquid micro-cap market with just $26 in 24-hour volume and $335 open interest, making the 3¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 3380% implied yield on a Yes resolution reflects the tiny position size rather than genuine market conviction, and the wide 3¢ spread indicates difficulty finding counterparties. With 349 days to expiry and a moderate 32 cliff risk index, this market lacks the depth to confidently assess whether a 3% probability for a Cluely IPO announcement is fairly priced or simply a result of minimal liquidity.

Resolution rules

If Cluely confirms an IPO before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3428.1%

IY (No) 3.3%

Adj IY 0%

CRI 32

Overround -0.6%

LAS 1.00

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	3428.1%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	3.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	0%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	32	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.6%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	1.00	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

3¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 9:49:41 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:38:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXIPOCLUELY-27APR01 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →