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Before Nov 1, 2026 · When will Discord IPO?: Before

Before Nov 1, 2026 is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 13 inside When will Discord IPO?: Before.

Price history

33¢ current

7¢
20¢30¢40¢
Apr 24, 2026May 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Discord confirms an IPO before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Before Nov 1, 2026

Rank

#8 of 13

Leader

Before Jun 1, 2027 61¢

Range

1¢-61¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXIPODISCORD-26NOV01

May 24, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

33¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

31¢

Ask

39¢

Spread

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#8 of 13

13 outcomes · When will Discord IPO?: Before

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

31 / 39¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
31¢500
28¢102
24¢100
17¢20
11¢10
AskSize
40¢500
44¢5
46¢100
53¢1

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Discord confirms an IPO before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXIPODISCORD-26NOV01

SF Signal
SF Index
187.26
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

504.8%

IY (No)

101.9%

Adj IY

187%

CRI

2

Overround

3.8%

LAS

0.26

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

504.8%
101.9%
Adj IY
187%
2
Overround
3.8%
LAS
0.26

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.