Before Sep 1, 2026 · When will Discord IPO?: Before
Before Sep 1, 2026 is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 13 inside When will Discord IPO?: Before.
Price history
19¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If Discord confirms an IPO before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Sep 1, 2026
Rank
#10 of 13
Leader
Before Jun 1, 2027 61¢
Range
1¢-61¢
Family volume
$209
Identifier
KXIPODISCORD-26SEP01
May 25, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
14¢
Ask
23¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#10 of 13
13 outcomes · When will Discord IPO?: Before
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Family volume
$209
Orderbook snapshot
14 / 23¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Discord confirms an IPO before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Identifier
KXIPODISCORD-26SEP01
Event family
When will Discord IPO?: Before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$209
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Before Jun 1, 2027 61¢
Current share
0%
Before Jun 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPODISCORD-27JUN01
Before May 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPODISCORD-27MAY01
Before Apr 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPODISCORD-27APR01
Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPODISCORD-27JAN01
Before Feb 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPODISCORD-27FEB01
Before Mar 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPODISCORD-27MAR01
Before Dec 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPODISCORD-26DEC01
Before Nov 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPODISCORD-26NOV01
Before Oct 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPODISCORD-26OCT01
Before Sep 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPODISCORD-26SEP01
Before Aug 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPODISCORD-26AUG01
Before Jul 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPODISCORD-26JUL01
Before Jun 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPODISCORD-26JUN01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 19% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.