Before Mar 1, 2027 · When will OpenAI IPO?: Before
Before Mar 1, 2027 is priced at 89¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 85¢ bid, 92¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 12 inside When will OpenAI IPO?: Before.
Price history
89¢ current
+42¢Contract brief
If OpenAI confirms an IPO before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Mar 1, 2027
Rank
#4 of 12
Leader
Before Jun 1, 2027 91¢
Range
1¢-91¢
Family volume
$477
Identifier
KXIPOOPENAI-27MAR01
Jun 7, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
85¢
Ask
92¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$8K
Family rank
#4 of 12
12 outcomes · When will OpenAI IPO?: Before
Closes
Mar 1, 2027
Family volume
$477
Orderbook snapshot
85 / 92¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If OpenAI confirms an IPO before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Mar 1, 2027
Identifier
KXIPOOPENAI-27MAR01
Event family
When will OpenAI IPO?: Before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$477
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Before Jun 1, 2027 91¢
Current share
0%
Before Jun 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-27JUN01
Before May 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-27MAY01
Before Apr 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-27APR01
Before Mar 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-27MAR01
Before Feb 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-27FEB01
Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-27JAN01
Before Dec 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-26DEC01
Before Nov 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-26NOV01
Before Oct 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-26OCT01
Before Sep 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-26SEP01
Before Aug 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-26AUG01
Before Jul 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-26JUL01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 89% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.