Before Aug 1, 2026 · When will OpenAI IPO?: Before
Before Aug 1, 2026 is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 13 inside When will OpenAI IPO?: Before.
Price history
8¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If OpenAI confirms an IPO before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Aug 1, 2026
Rank
#11 of 13
Leader
Before Apr 1, 2027 91¢
Range
1¢-91¢
Family volume
$263K
Identifier
KXIPOOPENAI-26AUG01
May 21, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$20K
Family rank
#11 of 13
13 outcomes · When will OpenAI IPO?: Before
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Family volume
$263K
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If OpenAI confirms an IPO before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXIPOOPENAI-26AUG01
Event family
When will OpenAI IPO?: Before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$263K
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Before Apr 1, 2027 91¢
Current share
7%
Before Apr 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-27APR01
Before May 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-27MAY01
Before Jun 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-27JUN01
Before Mar 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-27MAR01
Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-27JAN01
Before Feb 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-27FEB01
Before Dec 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-26DEC01
Before Nov 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-26NOV01
Before Oct 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-26OCT01
Before Sep 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-26SEP01
Before Aug 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-26AUG01
Before Jun 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-26JUN01
Before Jul 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOOPENAI-26JUL01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.