Will David Njoku play for Detroit Lions in 2026-27?

Prediction markets currently give a 38% probability that Will David Njoku play for Detroit Lions in 2026-27?. This contract trades at 38¢ on Polymarket, closing September 1, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite an 88¢ spread and $11.123 open interest, suggesting the 46¢ price may not reflect genuine consensus.

███████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
38¢
Bid/Ask 1/75¢·Spread 74¢·Vol $0·OI $33.19·Closes Sep 1, 2026·124d remaining
0xc1c643b4b23c760575629d83529e513bdcde9ee455edc0686622a27e6884a063
7-day price324 snapshots · 6 regime
50¢38¢ current
Apr 820¢Apr 29

Analysis

13d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite an 88¢ spread and $11.123 open interest, suggesting the 46¢ price may not reflect genuine consensus. The 538% implied yield on the "Yes" side is extraordinarily high and likely a mispricing artifact stemming from thin liquidity rather than true market conviction about Njoku's 46% probability of joining Detroit. With 138 days to expiration and a realized volatility of 2,406%, this is a highly speculative position where the outsized yield compensates for severe execution risk—any actual trade could move the price dramatically.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the next team David Njoku officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If David Njoku does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If David Njoku joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If David Njoku is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NFL and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 479.4%
IY (No) 180.1%
Adj IY 479%
CRI 2
RV 1176%
VR 7.00
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)479.4%
IY (No)180.1%
Adj IY479%
CRI2
RV1176%
VR7.00
IAR0.7/h
Overround13.7%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
74¢
Computed
4/29/2026, 7:03:26 PM
Indicators computed 4/29/2026, 6:53:27 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xc1c643b4b23c760575629d83529e513bdcde9ee455edc0686622a27e6884a063 yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions