SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026236 days left

Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

This contract is priced at 18¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 12¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 9¢ spread.

Implied probability

18¢
$43K volume
$3K liquidity
8% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$567K

Best sibling

Syria 17¢

Ticker

0x0150e823…89d9

Market snapshot

Azerbaijan in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?. The displayed quote is 18¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $43K. In the Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Azerbaijan

Family rank

#2 of 7

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

18¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

Reported volume

$43K

Family context

7 outcomes · Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Quote range

11¢-36¢

Family leader

Somaliland 36¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC · 5m ago

Venue identifier: 0x0150e8238df20ad29b32b8880f5a8b096252ad55c819caf4019d85052e3d89d9. Family volume: $567K.

Price history

18¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 21¢

Polymarket
9¢ spread
BidSize
12¢10
11¢76
10¢214
9¢5.0K
8¢50
7¢12
6¢167
5¢180
AskSize
21¢75
23¢20
27¢8
28¢13
29¢8
33¢12
34¢70
52¢188

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x0150e823…89d9

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

660.4%

IY (No)

36.3%

Adj IY

417%

CRI

4

RV

2188%

VR

8.54

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

660.4%
36.3%
Adj IY
417%
4
RV
2188%
VR
8.54
IAR
4.2/h
Overround
0.2%
LAS
0.37

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index