SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026236 days left

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

This contract is priced at 12¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 11¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

12¢
$89K volume
$20K liquidity
16% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$567K

Best sibling

Syria 17¢

Ticker

0x15f44210…8ec6

Market snapshot

Saudi Arabia in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?. The displayed quote is 12¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $8. In the Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? family, this outcome ranks #6 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Saudi Arabia

Family rank

#6 of 7

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

12¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

24h volume

$8

Family context

7 outcomes · Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Quote range

11¢-36¢

Family leader

Somaliland 36¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: 0x15f442103bfad36b0dcc569d9698b4d020d12a2c935b9ac9050bb190a9238ec6. Family volume: $567K.

Price history

12¢ current

12¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 13¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
11¢182
10¢300
9¢518
8¢500
6¢468
5¢1.6K
4¢225
3¢520
AskSize
13¢43
20¢118
21¢2.8K
22¢3.0K
44¢15
45¢108
47¢430
48¢1.4K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x15f44210…8ec6

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1135.7%

IY (No)

21.1%

Adj IY

1136%

CRI

7

RV

1943%

VR

6.82

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

1135.7%
21.1%
Adj IY
1136%
7
RV
1943%
VR
6.82
IAR
4.2/h
Overround
0.2%

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