Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
This contract is priced at 13¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 11¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 3¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$567K
Best sibling
Syria 17¢
Ticker
0xc1bd3bfa…4237
Market snapshot
Oman in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?. The displayed quote is 13¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $145K. In the Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? family, this outcome ranks #5 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
Oman
Family rank
#5 of 7
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
13¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
Reported volume
$145K
Family context
7 outcomes · Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Quote range
11¢-36¢
Family leader
Somaliland 36¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 4m ago
Venue identifier: 0xc1bd3bfadea871e846ad2e7a09cdf56da632137a4d5e96da08b0134975ce4237. Family volume: $567K.
Price history
13¢ current
−3¢Orderbook snapshot
11 / 14¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xc1bd3bfa…4237
Event family
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$567K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Somaliland 36¢
Current share
26%
Oman
polymarket · 0xc1bd3bfadea871e846ad2e7a09cdf56da632137a4d5e96da08b0134975ce4237
Syria
polymarket · 0x985b12455df199faf9ea77159bbcaa425dc5c4664fb07fd54f471ceb5d1d8e7f
Saudi Arabia
polymarket · 0x15f442103bfad36b0dcc569d9698b4d020d12a2c935b9ac9050bb190a9238ec6
Somaliland
polymarket · 0x82ec29323ad31bab12038200ab276db8ebc596a0a8ae8a5f8db2dfb6d2cb4942
Lebanon
polymarket · 0xd826bae66455a0b931a6bdabf81f4102c7476409d9ab55b77183e5c8db064f13
Azerbaijan
polymarket · 0x0150e8238df20ad29b32b8880f5a8b096252ad55c819caf4019d85052e3d89d9
Kuwait
polymarket · 0x4e4d65ad049ce46e0d4939ce4d00bcb95134cdbd0c1d39b6e63a4235fccae888
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 13% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.