Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 9% probability that Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?. This contract trades at 9¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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9¢
Bid/Ask 9/9¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $5·OI $1,505.541·Closes Jun 30, 2026·63d remaining
0x30947797ba4407fdb989c651dc64a38a73ac03650370ef7e023fe3211e7e107d
7-day price88 snapshots · 2 regime
9¢9¢ current
Apr 248¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 5897.5%
IY (No) 57.7%
Adj IY 2949%
CRI 10
Overround 1.5%
LAS 0.00
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)5897.5%
IY (No)57.7%
Adj IY2949%
CRI10
Overround1.5%
LAS0.00

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
0¢
Computed
4/28/2026, 10:16:28 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 10:08:23 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x30947797ba4407fdb989c651dc64a38a73ac03650370ef7e023fe3211e7e107d yes 100

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