Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 56% probability that Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?. This contract trades at 56¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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56¢
Bid/Ask 51/62¢·Spread 11¢·Vol $0·OI $1,145.628·Closes Jun 30, 2026·65d remaining
0x7a6d39742e4044fcc7a2b6808027a5ce8ba355705510205373ba1a98316a31b3
7-day price342 snapshots · 3 regime
62¢59¢ current
Apr 2353¢Apr 26

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 376.7%
IY (No) 847.7%
Adj IY 346%
CRI 2
Overround 1.3%
LAS 0.18
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)376.7%
IY (No)847.7%
Adj IY346%
CRI2
Overround1.3%
LAS0.18

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Computed
4/26/2026, 10:02:10 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/26/2026, 9:53:28 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x7a6d39742e4044fcc7a2b6808027a5ce8ba355705510205373ba1a98316a31b3 yes 100

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