Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 44% probability that Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?. This contract trades at 44¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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44¢
Bid/Ask 36/52¢·Spread 16¢·Vol $0·OI $620.436·Closes Jun 30, 2026·65d remaining
0xd5d09b7ac4a4ada87f082bb75fa8f96970d4a6c1d21a591e0615bf3eb71a56a2
7-day price469 snapshots · 5 regime
61¢44¢ current
Apr 2341¢Apr 26

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 779.3%
IY (No) 408.6%
Adj IY 306%
CRI 1
Overround 1.3%
LAS 0.21
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)779.3%
IY (No)408.6%
Adj IY306%
CRI1
Overround1.3%
LAS0.21

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Computed
4/26/2026, 7:39:52 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/26/2026, 7:38:25 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xd5d09b7ac4a4ada87f082bb75fa8f96970d4a6c1d21a591e0615bf3eb71a56a2 yes 100

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