SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026236 days left

Will Walmart acquire TikTok?

This contract is priced at 4¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

4¢
$66K volume
$3K liquidity
14% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$469K

Best sibling

Meta 3¢

Ticker

0x4dc83876…3c0c

Market snapshot

Walmart in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Walmart acquire TikTok?. The displayed quote is 4¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $5. In the Who will acquire TikTok? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Walmart

Family rank

#2 of 6

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

24h volume

$5

Family context

6 outcomes · Who will acquire TikTok?

Quote range

3¢-6¢

Family leader

Microsoft 6¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 7m ago

Venue identifier: 0x4dc83876f4e36b4e41bc897c42c7b791d3baead9e41d6e916663cc801db33c0c. Family volume: $469K.

Price history

4¢ current

5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 11, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 4¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
3¢303
3¢23
3¢53
3¢377
3¢294
2¢100
2¢119
2¢6
AskSize
4¢67
4¢109
4¢36
5¢61
8¢91
8¢63
9¢55
12¢500

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, byJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x4dc83876…3c0c

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3717.2%

IY (No)

6.5%

Adj IY

1394%

CRI

24

Overround

-0.8%

LAS

0.25

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

3717.2%
6.5%
Adj IY
1394%
24
Overround
-0.8%
LAS
0.25

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