Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
This contract is priced at 6¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$6.2M
Best sibling
Naftali Bennett 36¢
Ticker
0xadffc96f…4ec0
Price history
6¢ current
+4¢Orderbook snapshot
6 / 6¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xadffc96f…4ec0
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 8¢, -2¢ versus this page.
Event family
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$6.2M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Benjamin Netanyahu 43¢
Current share
9%
Avigdor Lieberman
polymarket · 0xadffc96f54f350b3655f72fe2853c81bfd705e9703f62469e6a14782ad5d4ec0
Naftali Bennett
polymarket · 0x9ed0ecc8b8589e67967d44c4420944a41b6a6806419019a1581d514174eee9b1
Benjamin Netanyahu
polymarket · 0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37
Gadi Eizenkot
polymarket · 0xdbe93b5a701f36076a560fa4b9ba59e365a6e8e2ea6a83764640010657277ca4
Gideon Sa’ar
polymarket · 0xfb2cb634e693b1758fc78b38b02754472edd728bd22eb4a7023c6f49419c73d6
Yossi Cohen
polymarket · 0xa653be0f150dbe055a532ea02977338bb31f49d1f723b2a48c1f67847a73cb7d
Yair Lapid
polymarket · 0x45a79193a66e5078a29c625e78e0d4b9a059edef8e206097c48bbfe7eaf9590e
Yair Golan
polymarket · 0xfcd53c97fef81c4ecad8a97c8c47fdf1ce0a54a0daeff7bae53eaa3a9af343f2
Moshe Feiglin
polymarket · 0x673db99d92473e9ee854b8a0ec0cff15d156e5c33a13e1e12db7266d33fde4d3
Benny Gantz
polymarket · 0xf773a12cc13214fc493ec398f96c4ea5ec87ea4ff3b29795041d5498e314ad1e
Yariv Levin
polymarket · 0x93d07ffcf5c243b98e655380eb876d4a3393351b7325059064cb5a4b1ff6ceb2
Itamar Ben Gvir
polymarket · 0x4bf44e9885ee8f43148458d5c9537d96c940cf48414557528358d65870131517
Yoaz Hendel
polymarket · 0x641ee08666fd2c37f890d59b4fd32ad8a23e8500e1ad070e112a90219a4d4bfa
Ayelet Shaked
polymarket · 0x80a849ac73eefe56d4d613e44b45e32b9f91f0bfc77173b732cffac7daab3b3b
Nir Barkat
polymarket · 0xd8625515585b5bf81d9c1262a1d2b0212a6f2a7a5c5f6ef6c993f7cc269f92dd
Israel Katz
polymarket · 0xb25a93dc8c0f28dc404f7ee41cf6788a9de054418bd068740849b4a2995486e9
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
political
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