Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Prediction markets currently give a 17% probability that Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?. This contract trades at 17¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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17¢
Bid/Ask 17/18¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $568.057·OI $46,363.732·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0xdbe93b5a701f36076a560fa4b9ba59e365a6e8e2ea6a83764640010657277ca4
7-day price139 snapshots · 41 regime
25¢17¢ current
Apr 816¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 17¢0¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.78IY 321.8%Close-time delta 7214h

Resolution rules

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 704.0%
IY (No) 29.5%
Adj IY 311%
CRI 5
Overround -0.1%
LAS 0.12
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)704.0%
IY (No)29.5%
Adj IY311%
CRI5
Overround-0.1%
LAS0.12

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:24:32 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xdbe93b5a701f36076a560fa4b9ba59e365a6e8e2ea6a83764640010657277ca4 yes 100

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