Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?

This market has experienced dramatic repricing, collapsing 60% over seven days from 45¢ to 18¢, suggesting either new information about Sanders' likely endorsement strategy or shifting expectations around Sawant's viability in WA-09. The extreme implied yield of 733% on the "Yes" side combined with very thin liquidity ($4.98 daily volume against $9.8M open interest) indicates the 18¢ price may not reflect true conviction, with the wide volatility ratio of 3.00 suggesting significant uncertainty about the resolution path. With 227 days to expiry and a high information arrival rate of 2.3 events per hour, this market remains highly sensitive to campaign developments and endorsement signals from Sanders.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election. If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.

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