Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?
Prediction markets currently give a 6% probability that Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?. This contract trades at 6¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2028. This Katie Britt nomination contract is severely illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $121 open interest, making the 6¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning.
Analysis
This Katie Britt nomination contract is severely illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $121 open interest, making the 6¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning. The 776% implied yield on the Yes side reflects extreme underpricing typical of thin markets, though the wide 5¢ spread and elevated cliff risk (13) suggest significant uncertainty around resolution mechanics. With 625 days to expiry, this market has ample time for price discovery, but traders should expect substantial slippage given the minimal liquidity.
Also on polymarket at —¢
Resolution rules
If Katie Britt announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KX2028RRUN-28-KBRI yes 100