Who will win Jack Adams Award?

Prediction markets currently give a 20% probability that Who will win Jack Adams Award?. This contract trades at 20¢ on Kalshi, closing June 30, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $10 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 20¢ price potentially unreliable despite the tight 1¢ spread.

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20¢
Bid/Ask 0/1¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $10·Closes Jun 30, 2026·69d remaining
KXNHLADAMS-26-LLAM

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $10 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 20¢ price potentially unreliable despite the tight 1¢ spread. The 1961% implied yield on the Yes side is a red flag indicating the market is severely underpriced relative to Lane Lambert's actual chances of winning the Jack Adams Award, though this distortion is likely due to minimal trading activity rather than genuine edge. With 74 days until expiration and a moderate Cliff Risk Index of 4, traders should be cautious about position sizing given the illiquidity and potential for sharp repricing once more capital enters the market.

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at ¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.95Close-time delta 14h

Resolution rules

If Lane Lambert wins the NHL Jack Adams Award in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2106.6%
IY (No) 131.7%
Adj IY 1053%
CRI 4
Overround 0.3%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2106.6%
IY (No)131.7%
Adj IY1053%
CRI4
Overround0.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 6:41:35 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:38:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNHLADAMS-26-LLAM yes 100

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