Who will win the next Malaysian general election?
Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that Who will win the next Malaysian general election?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Kalshi, closing November 29, 2028. This market shows extremely thin liquidity with only $13 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 23¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.
Analysis
This market shows extremely thin liquidity with only $13 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 23¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 103.1% implied yield on the Yes side is exceptionally high and likely reflects the illiquidity premium rather than genuine edge, while the 1¢ spread is relatively wide given the low price. With nearly 3 years until expiration and a neutral regime score, this market lacks the near-term catalysts or trading activity needed to establish meaningful price discovery.
Resolution rules
If the winner of the next Malaysian general election expected to be held in 2027 at the latest is PN-anchored coalition, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXMALAYSIAPARLI-2-27-PNA yes 100