SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 31, 2027387 days left

Will Abelardo de la Espriella finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

This contract is priced at 62¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 64¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

62¢
$333 volume
$320 liquidity

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Iván Cepeda Castro 8¢

Ticker

KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2-AESP

Market snapshot

Abelardo de la Espriella in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Abelardo de la Espriella finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?. The displayed quote is 62¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $333. In the KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2 family, this outcome ranks #1 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Abelardo de la Espriella

Family rank

#1 of 3

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

62¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 31, 2027

Reported volume

$333

Family context

3 outcomes · KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2

Quote range

8¢-60¢

Family leader

Abelardo de la Espriella 60¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 3m ago

Venue identifier: KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2-AESP. Family volume: .

Price history

62¢ current

+60¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

60 / 64¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
60¢7
59¢5
56¢205
30¢200
22¢371
AskSize
64¢5
65¢216
70¢250
92¢165
93¢55

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Abelardo de la Espriella finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 31, 2027

Identifier

KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2-AESP

Event family

KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Abelardo de la Espriella 60¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

62.8%

IY (No)

141.4%

Adj IY

132%

CRI

2

RV

178%

VR

2.18

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

62.8%
141.4%
Adj IY
132%
2
RV
178%
VR
2.18
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
-0.0%
LAS
0.07

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Your First Prediction Market Trade: End-to-End CLI Walkthrough

Step-by-step CLI tutorial for your first prediction market trade. Install, scan, create a thesis, find edges, check liquidity, place an order, and monitor — all from the command line.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index