SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 31, 2027387 days left

Will Paloma Valencia finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

This contract is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

37¢
$942 volume
$739 liquidity

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Iván Cepeda Castro 8¢

Ticker

KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2-PVAL

Market snapshot

Paloma Valencia in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Paloma Valencia finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?. The displayed quote is 37¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $942. In the KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Paloma Valencia

Family rank

#2 of 3

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

37¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 31, 2027

Reported volume

$942

Family context

3 outcomes · KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2

Quote range

8¢-60¢

Family leader

Abelardo de la Espriella 60¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 3m ago

Venue identifier: KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2-PVAL. Family volume: .

Price history

37¢ current

+35¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

29 / 34¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
29¢13
28¢216
25¢266
7¢48
6¢200
AskSize
34¢4
35¢200
40¢9
60¢200
62¢4

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Paloma Valencia finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 31, 2027

Identifier

KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2-PVAL

Event family

KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Abelardo de la Espriella 60¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

230.8%

IY (No)

38.5%

Adj IY

95%

CRI

2

Overround

-0.0%

LAS

0.17

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

230.8%
38.5%
Adj IY
95%
2
Overround
-0.0%
LAS
0.17

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