SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 31, 2027387 days left

Will Iván Cepeda Castro finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

This contract is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

8¢
$942 volume
$535 liquidity

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Paloma Valencia 29¢

Ticker

KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2-ICAS

Market snapshot

Iván Cepeda Castro in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Iván Cepeda Castro finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?. The displayed quote is 8¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $942. In the KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2 family, this outcome ranks #3 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Iván Cepeda Castro

Family rank

#3 of 3

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 31, 2027

Reported volume

$942

Family context

3 outcomes · KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2

Quote range

8¢-60¢

Family leader

Abelardo de la Espriella 60¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2-ICAS. Family volume: .

Price history

8¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 10¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.1K
8¢210
7¢155
4¢221
2¢200
AskSize
10¢200
13¢100
30¢1
86¢14
87¢255

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Iván Cepeda Castro finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 31, 2027

Identifier

KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2-ICAS

Event family

KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Abelardo de la Espriella 60¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1083.7%

IY (No)

8.2%

Adj IY

1084%

CRI

12

RV

1441%

VR

4.38

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1083.7%
8.2%
Adj IY
1084%
12
RV
1441%
VR
4.38
IAR
1.5/h
Overround
-0.0%

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