What is the current probability for "Will Andrew Scott be cast in The White Lotus: Season 4?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 17¢ (17% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on December 31, 2027. 607 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Andrew Scott be cast in The White Lotus: Season 4?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 541.0% and 6.7% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Andrew Scott be cast in The White Lotus: Season 4?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiDec 31, 2027607 days left

Will Andrew Scott be cast in The White Lotus: Season 4?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

17¢

$915 volume

$219 liquidity

368% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$249

Best sibling

Léa Seydoux 15¢

Ticker

KXACTORWHITELOTUS-27-AND

Price history

17¢ current

+10¢

Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 12¢

Kalshi

2¢ spread

BidSize

10¢88

8¢205

5¢21

3¢111

2¢574

AskSize

12¢107

14¢200

31¢200

59¢51

60¢737

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Andrew Scott is cast in The White Lotus: Season 4 before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2027

Identifier

KXACTORWHITELOTUS-27-AND

Event family

KXACTORWHITELOTUS-27.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$249

Outcomes

Highest price

Léa Seydoux 15¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Andrew Scott

kalshi · KXACTORWHITELOTUS-27-AND

10¢$0$0—

Léa Seydoux

kalshi · KXACTORWHITELOTUS-27-LEA