SimpleFunctions
KalshiAug 2, 202691 days left

Will Argentina qualify for FIFA World Cup Round of 16?

This contract is priced at 79¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 70¢ bid, 78¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Implied probability

79¢
$522 volume
$398 liquidity
195% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$268

Best sibling

USA 49¢

Ticker

KXWCROUND-26RO16-ARG

Price history

79¢ current

+13¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

70 / 78¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
70¢3
66¢100
65¢103
64¢1.0K
33¢1.2K
AskSize
78¢21
79¢24
80¢136
84¢400
87¢2.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Argentina is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Identifier

KXWCROUND-26RO16-ARG

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

172.1%

IY (No)

937.1%

Adj IY

415%

CRI

2

Overround

11.4%

LAS

0.11

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

172.1%
937.1%
Adj IY
415%
2
Overround
11.4%
LAS
0.11

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