What is the current probability for "Will Mexico qualify for FIFA World Cup Round of 16?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 72¢ (72% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on August 2, 2026. 91 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Mexico qualify for FIFA World Cup Round of 16?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 471.5% and 342.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Mexico qualify for FIFA World Cup Round of 16?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiAug 2, 202691 days left

Will Mexico qualify for FIFA World Cup Round of 16?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 72¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 46¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 26¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

72¢

$2K volume

$2K liquidity

653% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$268

Best sibling

USA 49¢

Ticker

KXWCROUND-26RO16-MEX

Price history

72¢ current

+25¢

Apr 8, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

46 / 72¢

Kalshi

26¢ spread

BidSize

46¢5

45¢60

43¢28

42¢1

37¢3

AskSize

72¢779

73¢24

75¢1

85¢25

90¢100

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Mexico is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Identifier

KXWCROUND-26RO16-MEX

Event family

KXWCROUND-26RO16.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$268

Outcomes

Highest price

Spain 81¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Mexico

kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-MEX

46¢$14$140.6

USA

kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-USA