What is the current probability for "Will IR Iran qualify for FIFA World Cup Round of 16?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 33¢ (33% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on August 2, 2026. 91 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will IR Iran qualify for FIFA World Cup Round of 16?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 7623.1% and 21.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will IR Iran qualify for FIFA World Cup Round of 16?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiAug 2, 202691 days left

Will IR Iran qualify for FIFA World Cup Round of 16?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 25¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

33¢

$332 volume

$292 liquidity

119% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$280

Best sibling

USA 47¢

Ticker

KXWCROUND-26RO16-IRI

Price history

33¢ current

+31¢

Apr 17, 2026Apr 27, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 30¢

Kalshi

25¢ spread

BidSize

100¢1.3K

5¢167

4¢100

2¢380

AskSize

30¢83

31¢100

32¢50

38¢15

44¢10

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If IR Iran is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Identifier

KXWCROUND-26RO16-IRI

Event family

KXWCROUND-26RO16.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$280

Outcomes

Highest price

France 74¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

IR Iran

kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-IRI

5¢$0$0—

USA

kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-USA