Austria · KXWCROUND-26RO16
Austria is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXWCROUND-26RO16.
Price history
33¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Austria is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Austria
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
England 64¢
Range
8¢-64¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXWCROUND-26RO16-AUT
May 24, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
26¢
Ask
33¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$246
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCROUND-26RO16
Closes
Aug 2, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
26 / 33¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Austria is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 2, 2026
Identifier
KXWCROUND-26RO16-AUT
Event family
KXWCROUND-26RO16.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
England 64¢
Current share
0%
England
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-ENG
Netherlands
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-NED
Norway
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-NOR
Mexico
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-MEX
USA
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-USA
Colombia
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-COL
Switzerland
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-SUI
Morocco
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-MAR
Japan
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-JPN
Ecuador
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-ECU
Uruguay
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-URU
Austria
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-AUT
Scotland
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-SCO
Bosnia and Herzegovina
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-BIH
Australia
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-AUS
Tunisia
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-TUN
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.