SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 1, 202629 days left

Will Ariana Grande be 1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in May 2026?

This contract is priced at 48¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 39¢ spread.

Implied probability

48¢
$4K volume
$3K liquidity
5% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$86K

Best sibling

Ella Langley 99¢

Ticker

KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-ARI

Price history

48¢ current

+26¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 29, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 45¢

Kalshi
39¢ spread
BidSize
100¢313
6¢30
5¢2
4¢153
3¢200
AskSize
45¢21
46¢184
48¢190
50¢400

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Ariana Grande is #1 on Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-ARI

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

19843.6%

IY (No)

80.8%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

16

RV

6485%

VR

12.69

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

19843.6%
80.8%
Adj IY
0%
16
RV
6485%
VR
12.69
IAR
3.3/h
Overround
2.0%
LAS
6.33

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