Will Ariana Grande be 1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in May 2026?
This contract is priced at 48¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 46¢ ask, 41¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$91K
Best sibling
Ella Langley 99¢
Ticker
KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-ARI
Price history
48¢ current
+26¢Orderbook snapshot
5 / 46¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Ariana Grande is #1 on Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-ARI
Event family
KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$91K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ella Langley 99¢
Current share
0%
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-ARI
Ella Langley
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-ELL
Drake
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-DRA
Morgan Wallen
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-MOR
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-TAY
Noah Kahan
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-NOA
Madonna
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-MAD
BTS
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-BTS
Michael Jackson
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-MIC
Justin Bieber
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-JUS
Olivia Rodrigo
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-OLII
Sabrina Carpenter
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-SAB
Bruno Mars
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-BRU
A$AP Rocky
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-ASA
Fleetwood Mac
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-FLE
KATSEYE
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26JUN01-KAT
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 48% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.