Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit this year?
This contract is priced at 88¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 85¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 3¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$426
Best sibling
Drake 79¢
Ticker
KX1SONG-DEC2626-ARI
Market snapshot
Ariana Grande in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit this year?. The displayed quote is 88¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $176. In the KX1SONG-DEC2626 family, this outcome ranks #1 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Ariana Grande
Family rank
#1 of 16
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
88¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 21, 2026
24h volume
$176
Family context
16 outcomes · KX1SONG-DEC2626
Quote range
2¢-85¢
Family leader
Ariana Grande 85¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 13m ago
Venue identifier: KX1SONG-DEC2626-ARI. Family volume: $426.
Price history
88¢ current
+7¢Orderbook snapshot
85 / 88¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Ariana Grande has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 21, 2026
Identifier
KX1SONG-DEC2626-ARI
Event family
KX1SONG-DEC2626.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$426
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ariana Grande 85¢
Current share
41%
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-ARI
Drake
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-DRA
Olivia Dean
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-OLI
YoungBoy Never Broke Again
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-YOU
Zara Larsson
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-ZAR
The Weeknd
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-WEE
Justin Bieber
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-JUS
Ed Sheeran
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-ED
Travis Scott
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-TRA
Eminem
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-EMI
Kanye West / Ye
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-KAN
Rihanna
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-RIH
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-BIL
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-KEN
Post Malone
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-POS
J Balvin
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-JBA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
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