SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 4, 2026

Will average gas prices be above $4.380?

This contract is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 99¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

99¢
$27K volume
$15K liquidity
6% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$482K

Best sibling

Above 4.480 1¢

Ticker

KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.380

Price history

99¢ current

+95¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 27, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

99 / 100¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
99¢10K
96¢2.2K
95¢5
90¢13
21¢1
AskSize

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.380 on May 4, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 4, 2026

Identifier

KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.380

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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