Will average gas prices be above $4.450?
This contract is priced at 78¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 73¢ bid, 79¢ ask, 6¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$470K
Best sibling
Above 4.480 1¢
Ticker
KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.450
Price history
78¢ current
+72¢Orderbook snapshot
73 / 79¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.450 on May 4, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 4, 2026
Identifier
KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.450
Event family
Will average gas prices be above $4.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$470K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above 4.440 99¢
Current share
7%
Above 4.450
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.450
Above 4.480
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.480
Above 4.500
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.500
Above 4.460
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.460
Above 4.470
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.470
Above 4.440
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.440
Above 4.420
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.420
Above 4.640
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.640
Above 4.520
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.520
Above 4.560
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.560
Above 4.620
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.620
Above 4.580
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.580
Above 4.400
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.400
Above 4.600
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.600
Above 4.380
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.380
Above 4.540
kalshi · KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.540
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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