SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 4, 20260 days left

Will average gas prices be above $4.470?

This contract is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

4¢
$43K volume
$36K liquidity
9% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$482K

Best sibling

Above 4.480 1¢

Ticker

KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.470

Price history

4¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 2, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 5¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢9.1K
4¢4
3¢104
2¢947
AskSize
5¢3.4K
6¢3.9K
7¢182
8¢2.0K
9¢225

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.470 on May 4, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 4, 2026

Identifier

KXAAAGASW-26MAY04-4.470

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

24

Overround

0.0%

LAS

0.25

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

24
Overround
0.0%
LAS
0.25

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