SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 31, 202628 days left

Will average gas prices be above $4.70?

This contract is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 57¢ ask, 17¢ spread.

Implied probability

39¢
$5K volume
$4K liquidity
41% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$12K

Best sibling

Above 4.60 36¢

Ticker

KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-4.70

Price history

39¢ current

+37¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 30, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

40 / 57¢

Kalshi
17¢ spread
BidSize
40¢1
39¢13
25¢30
22¢2
15¢8
AskSize
57¢1
58¢127
59¢6
61¢2.2K
65¢22

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.70 on May 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 31, 2026

Identifier

KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-4.70

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1969.7%

IY (No)

875.4%

Adj IY

1133%

CRI

2

RV

2946%

VR

5.34

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1969.7%
875.4%
Adj IY
1133%
2
RV
2946%
VR
5.34
IAR
2.2/h
Overround
9.4%
LAS
0.42

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