Average gas prices above or below $7.80 by Dec 31, 2026
Above $7.80 is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 10 inside Will average gas prices be above or below $.
Price history
20¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $7.80 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $7.80
Rank
#10 of 10
Leader
Above $6.20 75¢
Range
11¢-75¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-7.80
Jun 6, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
8¢
24h volume
$209
Family rank
#10 of 10
10 outcomes · Will average gas prices be above or below $
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $7.80 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-7.80
Event family
Will average gas prices be above or below $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Above $6.20 75¢
Current share
6%
Above $6.20
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-6.20
Above $6.40
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-6.40
Above $6.80
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-6.80
Above $6.60
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-6.60
Above $7.00
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-7.00
Above $7.40
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-7.40
Above $7.20
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-7.20
Above $7.60
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-7.60
Above $8.00
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-8.00
Above $7.80
kalshi · KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-7.80
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.442
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.