SimpleFunctions
KalshiJul 2, 202660 days left

Will Jayden Quaintance be a top 15 draft pick in 2026?

This contract is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 25¢ spread.

Implied probability

25¢
$4 volume
$4 liquidity
57% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$7

Best sibling

Bennett Stirtz 17¢

Ticker

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-15-JQUA

Price history

25¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 3, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 25¢

Kalshi
25¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
25¢50
66¢5
67¢70
68¢314
69¢889

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Jayden Quaintance is drafted top 15 in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-15-JQUA

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1824.2%

IY (No)

202.7%

Adj IY

912%

CRI

3

Overround

8.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1824.2%
202.7%
Adj IY
912%
3
Overround
8.0%

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