SimpleFunctions

Bosnia and Herzegovina · KXWCROUND-26RO16

Bosnia and Herzegovina is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXWCROUND-26RO16.

Price history

25¢ current

+13¢
10¢20¢
May 6, 2026May 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Bosnia and Herzegovina is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Rank

#14 of 16

Leader

Spain 78¢

Range

8¢-78¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXWCROUND-26RO16-BIH

May 24, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

25¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

20¢

Ask

25¢

Spread

24h volume

$126

Family rank

#14 of 16

16 outcomes · KXWCROUND-26RO16

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 25¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
20¢8
19¢15
12¢5.6K
10¢500
9¢85
AskSize
25¢5.3K
34¢128
35¢125
36¢472
37¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Bosnia and Herzegovina is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Identifier

KXWCROUND-26RO16-BIH

SF Signal
SF Index
1039.84
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

2026 FIFA World Cup Round Qualification Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXWCROUND series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2079.7%

IY (No)

130.0%

Adj IY

1040%

CRI

4

Overround

13.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2079.7%
130.0%
Adj IY
1040%
4
Overround
13.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.