Uruguay · KXWCROUND-26RO16
Uruguay is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside KXWCROUND-26RO16.
Price history
33¢ current
Contract brief
If Uruguay is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Uruguay
Rank
#9 of 16
Leader
England 78¢
Range
1¢-78¢
Family volume
$94K
Identifier
KXWCROUND-26RO16-URU
Jun 18, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
32¢
Ask
33¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#9 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCROUND-26RO16
Closes
Aug 2, 2026
Family volume
$94K
Orderbook snapshot
32 / 33¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Uruguay is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 2, 2026
Identifier
KXWCROUND-26RO16-URU
Event family
KXWCROUND-26RO16.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$94K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
England 78¢
Current share
4%
England
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-ENG
Argentina
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-ARG
Portugal
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-POR
Mexico
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-MEX
Morocco
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-MAR
Korea Republic
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-KOR
Japan
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-JPN
Ivory Coast
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-CIV
Uruguay
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-URU
Austria
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-AUT
Cape Verde
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-CPV
Qatar
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-QAT
Haiti
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-HTI
Panama
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-PAN
Uzbekistan
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-UZB
Jordan
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26RO16-JOR
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.