SimpleFunctions
KalshiAug 2, 202691 days left

Will Netherlands qualify for FIFA World Cup Round of 16?

This contract is priced at 86¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 51¢ bid, 76¢ ask, 25¢ spread.

Implied probability

86¢
$122 volume
$112 liquidity
43% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$286

Best sibling

USA 47¢

Ticker

KXWCROUND-26RO16-NED

Price history

86¢ current

+28¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

51 / 76¢

Kalshi
25¢ spread
BidSize
51¢100
50¢37
49¢40
48¢3
46¢2
AskSize
76¢999
86¢139
87¢2.0K
88¢111
90¢100

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Netherlands is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Identifier

KXWCROUND-26RO16-NED

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

385.6%

IY (No)

417.7%

Adj IY

66%

CRI

1

Overround

11.1%

LAS

0.69

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

385.6%
417.7%
Adj IY
66%
1
Overround
11.1%
LAS
0.69

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