Will BTC trimmed mean be above $85000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?
This contract is priced at 63¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 3¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
6
Family volume
$53K
Best sibling
Above $90,000.00 20¢
Ticker
KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26MAY31-8500000
Market snapshot
Above $85,000.00 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will BTC trimmed mean be above $85000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 63¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $11K. In the Will BTC trimmed mean be above $ family, this outcome ranks #1 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.
Outcome
Above $85,000.00
Family rank
#1 of 6
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
63¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 1, 2026
24h volume
$11K
Family context
6 outcomes · Will BTC trimmed mean be above $
Quote range
4¢-60¢
Family leader
Above $85,000.00 60¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 12m ago
Venue identifier: KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26MAY31-8500000. Family volume: $53K.
Price history
63¢ current
+27¢Orderbook snapshot
60 / 63¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026 is ever above $ 85000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26MAY31-8500000
Event family
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$53K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Above $85,000.00 60¢
Current share
21%
Above $85,000.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26MAY31-8500000
Above $90,000.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26MAY31-9000000
Above $87,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26MAY31-8750000
Above $97,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26MAY31-9750000
Above $92,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26MAY31-9250000
Above $95,000.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26MAY31-9500000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.