Will clavicular have At least 350000 Followers before Jan 1, 2027?
Prediction markets currently give a 88% probability that Will clavicular have At least 350000 Followers before Jan 1, 2027?. This contract trades at 88¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite an 88¢ price, suggesting the high probability reflects minimal actual trading rather than genuine conviction.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite an 88¢ price, suggesting the high probability reflects minimal actual trading rather than genuine conviction. The massive 422.4% implied yield on the No side and 12¢ spread indicate significant uncertainty among potential traders about whether "clavicular" will reach 350,000 Kick followers in 259 days, with the asymmetric payoffs suggesting the market may be mispriced. The modest 3-point decline from 78¢ to 75¢ over seven days combined with neutral regime conditions suggests this is a speculative position with limited liquidity to enter or exit at the quoted price.
Resolution rules
If clavicular has At least 350000 Followers on Kick before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXFOLLOWERCOUNTCLAV-27-350000 yes 100