SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 3, 2026147 days left

Will Colson Montgomery record 30+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

This contract is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 23¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 11¢ spread.

Implied probability

37¢
$2K volume
$1K liquidity
417% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$395

Best sibling

Willson Contreras 17¢

Ticker

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-CMONTGOMERY12

Market snapshot

Colson Montgomery in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Colson Montgomery record 30+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?. The displayed quote is 37¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $133. In the KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30 family, this outcome ranks #10 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Colson Montgomery

Family rank

#10 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

37¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 3, 2026

24h volume

$133

Family context

16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30

Quote range

3¢-82¢

Family leader

Junior Caminero 82¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-CMONTGOMERY12. Family volume: $395.

Price history

37¢ current

+17¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

23 / 34¢

Kalshi
11¢ spread
BidSize
23¢31
22¢41
18¢500
9¢16
6¢50
AskSize
34¢25
38¢500
46¢16
58¢16
64¢5

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Colson Montgomery records 30+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 3, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-CMONTGOMERY12

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

829.5%

IY (No)

74.0%

Adj IY

216%

CRI

3

Overround

15.1%

LAS

0.48

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

829.5%
74.0%
Adj IY
216%
3
Overround
15.1%
LAS
0.48

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Technicalrisk

Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter

How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index