SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 3, 2026147 days left

Will Austin Riley record 30+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

This contract is priced at 30¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 6¢ spread.

Implied probability

30¢
$92 volume
$83 liquidity
23% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$395

Best sibling

Colson Montgomery 23¢

Ticker

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-ARILEY27

Market snapshot

Austin Riley in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Austin Riley record 30+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?. The displayed quote is 30¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $5. In the KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30 family, this outcome ranks #7 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Austin Riley

Family rank

#7 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

30¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 3, 2026

24h volume

$5

Family context

16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30

Quote range

3¢-82¢

Family leader

Junior Caminero 82¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-ARILEY27. Family volume: $395.

Price history

30¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

29 / 35¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
29¢8
24¢123
20¢500
12¢16
6¢47
AskSize
35¢11
36¢121
40¢505
45¢16
64¢16

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Austin Riley records 30+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 3, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-ARILEY27

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

606.6%

IY (No)

101.2%

Adj IY

303%

CRI

2

Overround

15.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

606.6%
101.2%
Adj IY
303%
2
Overround
15.1%

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