Juan Soto · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30
Juan Soto is priced at 71¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 68¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30.
Price history
71¢ current
+31¢Contract brief
If Juan Soto records 30+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Juan Soto
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Junior Caminero 79¢
Range
6¢-79¢
Family volume
$232
Identifier
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-JSOTO22
Jun 26, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
60¢
Ask
68¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30
Closes
Oct 3, 2026
Family volume
$232
Orderbook snapshot
60 / 68¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Juan Soto records 30+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 3, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-JSOTO22
Event family
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$232
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Junior Caminero 79¢
Current share
0%
Junior Caminero
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-JCAMINERO13
Ben Rice
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BRICE22
Hunter Goodman
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-HGOODMAN15
Nick Kurtz
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-NKURTZ16
Bryce Harper
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BHARPER3
Juan Soto
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-JSOTO22
Pete Crow-Armstrong
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-PCROWARMSTRONG4
Mike Trout
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-MTROUT27
Aaron Judge
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-AJUDGE99
Brandon Lowe
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BLOWE5
Brent Rooker
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BROOKER25
Austin Riley
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-ARILEY27
Jose Ramirez
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-JRAMIREZ11
Brice Turang
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BTURANG2
Alex Bregman
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-ABREGMAN3
Wilyer Abreu
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-WABREU52
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.