SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 3, 2026147 days left

Will Willy Adames record 30+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

This contract is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

15¢
$634 volume
$530 liquidity
104% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$612

Best sibling

Kyle Stowers 6¢

Ticker

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-WADAMES2

Market snapshot

Willy Adames in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Willy Adames record 30+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?. The displayed quote is 15¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $634. In the KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30 family, this outcome ranks #12 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Willy Adames

Family rank

#12 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

15¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 3, 2026

Reported volume

$634

Family context

16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30

Quote range

3¢-82¢

Family leader

Junior Caminero 82¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 12m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-WADAMES2. Family volume: $612.

Price history

15¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

14 / 18¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.6K
14¢121
10¢500
2¢52
AskSize
18¢121
22¢140
24¢78
28¢500
30¢16

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Willy Adames records 30+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 3, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-WADAMES2

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1522.4%

IY (No)

40.3%

Adj IY

544%

CRI

6

Overround

15.1%

LAS

0.29

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1522.4%
40.3%
Adj IY
544%
6
Overround
15.1%
LAS
0.29

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Technicalrisk

Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter

How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index