SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 31, 2026241 days left

Will Daniil Medvedev win a Tennis Grand Slam in 2026?

This contract is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 6¢ spread.

Implied probability

5¢
$11K volume
$4K liquidity
2112% of event volume

Event outcomes

14

Family volume

$515

Best sibling

Novak Djokovic 13¢

Ticker

KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-DMED

Price history

5¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 1, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 12¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.2K
6¢1.0K
4¢247
2¢151
AskSize
12¢1.0K
13¢500
15¢2.0K
16¢97
17¢996

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Daniil Medvedev wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-DMED

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2369.0%

IY (No)

9.7%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

16

Overround

0.5%

LAS

1.00

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2369.0%
9.7%
Adj IY
0%
16
Overround
0.5%
LAS
1.00

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