Alex de Minaur · KXATPGRANDSLAM-26
Alex de Minaur is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 12 inside KXATPGRANDSLAM-26.
Price history
4¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Alex de Minaur wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Alex de Minaur
Rank
#3 of 12
Leader
Lorenzo Musetti 7¢
Range
1¢-7¢
Family volume
$946
Identifier
KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-AMIN
Jul 27, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#3 of 12
12 outcomes · KXATPGRANDSLAM-26
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$946
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Alex de Minaur wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-AMIN
Event family
KXATPGRANDSLAM-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$946
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Lorenzo Musetti 7¢
Current share
0%
Lorenzo Musetti
kalshi · KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-LMUS
Novak Djokovic
kalshi · KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-NDJO
Alex de Minaur
kalshi · KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-AMIN
Felix Auger-Aliassime
kalshi · KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-FAUG
Alexander Bublik
kalshi · KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-ABUB
Casper Ruud
kalshi · KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-CRUU
Jack Draper
kalshi · KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-JDRA
Karen Khachanov
kalshi · KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-KKHA
Daniil Medvedev
kalshi · KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-DMED
Ben Shelton
kalshi · KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-BSHE
Frances Tiafoe
kalshi · KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-FTIA
Taylor Fritz
kalshi · KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-TFRI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.